So your obvious lead is a low diamond, according to whether we play fourth best or 3rd/5th. Would you even consider anything else? Not in this situation, unless it was a trump perhaps. But my partner decided to lead the ♥3. This had a devastating effect on the defense. From my point of view this looked like a singleton, except that advancer had bid hearts and overcaller had not supported them. Given that dummy held KJ to five and I had the Axxx, the only possible holding you could have for the lead, given that you went out of your way not to make the obvious lead, had to be ♥Qxxx. Unfortunately, declarer had the singleton Q and I was only able to take my three other tricks after that. The resulting 18 imp swing was most of the margin of defeat in that match. [I dare say there were other clues that should have steered me in the right direction, but the earlier in the hand we have to make a crucial decision, the more we are in the dark and have to rely on figuring out partner's motives].
So what would be the legitimate exceptions to leading a raised suit?
- A singleton, as always a reasonable lead when partner has entries;
- a trump when indicated (they are sacrificing or you believe declarer will have losers to ruff and not too many trumps to ruff them with);
- when holding the A of our suit (it's a well-established fact that partner doesn't always have the K, even when he's bid the suit!);
- and, occasionally, when partner has most of our assets, we might try leading a doubleton.
So, if it's good enough to raise, it's good enough to lead!
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