In an otherwise decent effort Kim and I had a couple of tricky hands at the CMBA sectional in Auburn, MA. First, a defensive problem. Your hand is ♠–
♥JT864
♦KQ ♣Q87654. None vulnerable and partner deals and opens 1♠. You bid a forcing 1NT. LHO, a player who has never met a hand on which she could not find an overcall, bids 2
♦. Partner passes and it comes back around to you. Double is primarily for take-out (but with the expectation after the pass that it might well be converted to penalty). Bidding 2
♥ and 3♣ both seem somewhat flawed. So, let's say you do double and partner leaves it in. Game for us seems unlikely, so 300 would be a top and even 100 might get most of the matchpoints. In any case, you have to defend assuming that we are in the right contract.
Partner leads the ♠A (Ace from AK) and dummy comes down with an undeserved trick for declarer: ♠T8642
♥9752
♦3 ♣AT2. Dummy follows low and you are at the cross-roads. Partner won't be expecting your hand, that's for sure. Maybe something like ♠93
♥AT84
♦72 ♣KJ765 or maybe ♠9
♥AT864
♦Q2 ♣K8765. If you had one or two small trumps, you'd like to ruff a spade early so somehow you'd like to persuade partner to play a small one, if any, before your trumps get drawn. You might do this by playing a low club then a low heart. On the other hand, with your actual hand, you don't particularly want to waste any trumps on ruffing partner's losers. Rather, you want partner to get dummy's entry off the table before the high spade could become good. So, although this might typically suggest you have the king, I think the right card at trick one is the ♣8.
Unfortunately, neither of us defended optimally and on this occasion, declarer's hand was just good enough to take advantage and score 8 tricks for 180. This wasn't an absolute bottom for us, but it was a low score. Actually, it turns out that the normal contract was 3♣ by our side making exactly, so even +100 would not have been a good matchpoint score.
Here's a poor result that was entirely my fault, but is interesting theoretically, nonetheless. I picked up ♠AK7
♥98
♦Q542 ♣KT85 in fourth seat at favorable vulnerability. Partner opened 1
♥ and I responded a forcing 1 notrump. Partner now rebid 2
♥ which, in our system practically guarantees six pieces and tends to show a minimum hand strength-wise. Obviously, I was going to bid game, but which game? I felt that it might be advantageous to have the lead come up to my hand, especially on a minor suit lead, and bid 3NT – but I neglected three important factors.
First of all, partner's hand might be short on entries given the auction (or alternatively have a poor heart suit). Both of these factors argue in favor of playing in a major suit game. Secondly, the choice of notrump versus a major suit tends to work better with a 5-3 fit rather than a 6-2 fit. Finally, choosing notrump over any 8-card major suit fit should generally only be considered with a plethora of high-card points, something like in the range 27-30.
So, to my contract of 3NT, a fourth-best deuce of spades was led. Dummy came down much as expected with
♠J6
♥AKJ764
♦K8 ♣J97. Obviously, I was going to try the J. If it held, my judgment would be vindicated and I would likely make the same number of tricks as the heart declarers. Unfortunately, the J was covered by the Q and I won with the Ace. Now, I was definitely behind the heart declarers. Any lead from the other defender would have likely given away a trick. Not only that but I now had to be quite careful. If the
♦K proved not to be an entry, it would be highly embarrassing to leave several hearts stranded in the dummy.
So, I turned to a couple of guidelines. One was that if hearts were 3-2 I was destined to score badly. The heart declarers would always score 20 points better than me. If hearts were 4-1 offside, I'd be just as badly off, probably even worse. That didn't bear thinking about. But what if hearts were 4-1
on-side? The heart declarers would all likely finesse the J and then try to drop the Q or T. A first-round finesse was obviously called for, but which finesse?
That's when I turned to my
Principle of Least Commitment for guidance. This is the lazy man's way of avoiding having to learn all 656 suit combinations from the Bridge Encyclopedia. In this case, least commitment suggests running the 9. The advantage of running the 9 is that if RHO wins with the Q, you know where the T is (unless RHO is very devious indeed). If you run the 9 and it loses to the T of course, you know nothing about the Q and if you finesse the J and it loses to the Q, you know nothing of the T.
If entries to dummy were not a problem (or if hearts were trumps), then the best play is to cash a high heart, cross over and finesse the J. You'll make 6 tricks 37% of the time and 5 tricks 88% of the time. But if we assume no outside entry to dummy, then we essentially want to duck a trick to maintain our link. Again, this suggests running the 9, which is what I did. It lost to the T.
Another way of looking at it is this: if indeed there is no further entry to dummy, running the 9 first will result in either 2 or 5 tricks in the suit, assuming that the hearts are distributed unfavorably: Q532–T or T532–Q. Finessing the J first will result in either 3 or 2 tricks.
A spade came back and now I had another decision to make. So far, my strategy was not panning out. The heart declarers would finesse the J and see the T come up on their left. Then they'd bang down the top hearts and hope to drop the Q. If that happened, I'd lose. Was there a way to win? Yes: take another finesse in hearts. But wait! If that lost to the Q, I might be in the ignominious position of not taking
any heart tricks at all and going down quite a few.
Here's where I goofed. I got scared. I didn't "stay with the program." I couldn't bear the thought of looking so silly so I played off the A and K. The Q failed to appear. She was exactly where I needed her for a good board. What an idiot! I ended up with -50 while my competition were all +420. I might still have ended up with 400 which would have been good for slightly over average.