tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7181380552290465298.post2279704573801259733..comments2024-03-14T18:02:56.265-04:00Comments on Robin's Bridge Blog: The Orlando bridge gods smile at lastPhasmidhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09870140728729031615noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7181380552290465298.post-15767235161449567922010-12-07T11:59:07.418-05:002010-12-07T11:59:07.418-05:00Thanks for your comments, Jeff. You are indeed ri...Thanks for your comments, Jeff. You are indeed right that it was really more complex than I suggested. There were in fact all kinds of legitimate hands Kim might have had that would not produce 13 tricks. Maybe I should have taken the money at 5H which would have given us either 1100, 1400 or 1700 depending on the location of the rounded Qs which I never discovered (but I suspect 1100 was the most likely). The other team was in 6S so only 1700 would have won us IMPs. I wasn't the team captain so didn't get to see their reaction to the loss. But to be honest, they seemed to be a little out of sorts throughout the 7 board match (this was the last board).<br />Finally, while I have no idea how to scientifically get to the right spot, I did know that we were losing the match (though by less than I thought). That's the time to take chances because of the non-linearity of the VP scale.Phasmidhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09870140728729031615noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7181380552290465298.post-18480485841261073132010-12-04T21:35:01.723-05:002010-12-04T21:35:01.723-05:00Congratulations to you and your team.
Most of us ...Congratulations to you and your team.<br /><br />Most of us would rarely win if we did not have a little luck. And I think you had some really good fortune to make 7S. For example, would the auction have been any different if one of Kim's small clubs had been a small diamond? (Btw, is everyone OK with Kim's opening bid choice of 1NT? I am.)<br /><br />The subject hand is very tough .. tougher, I would suggest, than your post implies.<br /><br />You need to find out if your partner has three cards, the HA, the DKQ (although, as it turns out, a doubleton DK with enough trumps might be an adequate substitute for the DQ). Exclusion, as is often the case, isn't enough to help you. If your diamonds were something like KQJxx rather than AJxxx, then exclusion would be more productive. But exclusion is not going to tell you about third round control in diamonds ... or maybe even a second round control.<br /><br />I don't think there is a magic solution to the problem, but I think I would be inclined to bid diamonds naturally over the 3H interference, in hopes that pard's enthusiasm or lack thereof for diamonds will help me ascertain how high to push this hand. <br /><br />Lets assume that you bid 4D and then the next hand still advances to 5H. With 6 HCP in hearts and only a doubleton diamond, I suspect that partner will double 5H. But, as you have not yet shown your best suit, you will probably not accept 5HX as a final contract (without knowing the whole opposing distribution, I am not sure what happens to 5HX, perhaps +1100?). Instead, lets assume that you take out 5HX to 5S.<br /><br />NOW, partner will start to like her hand. Only the two rounded queens seem like wasted points. She might guess you are something like AKQxx of spades and AQJxxx of diamonds. She has the aces to take care of whatever are your other two cards. At this point, I can envisage Kim's hand jumping to 7D (??), which you can convert to 7S.<br /><br />Not at all confident that there is a comfortable road to 7S on this hand. Seems a little lucky to me to reach the contract, but, as I said at the beginning of this (long) post, most of us need not just to play well to win but also to receive some luck.<br /><br />Were the opponents at the other table in 6S? Were the opponents gracious upon losing?Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09402419741923703786noreply@blogger.com